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NecroNarwhal

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Everything posted by NecroNarwhal

  1. All I know is that you can never find anything that says H. P. Lovecraft is racist. That simply does not exist.
  2. I dunno, I get the feeling that Royal says "Hey, here are some possible reasons why things happen. It could be one country's economic collapse, it could be another country's economic boost". Also ROYAL sort of concludes that there is no definitive answer…Jedidiah Royal 11, Director of Cooperative Threat Reduction at the U.S. Department of Defense, “Integration, Vulnerability and Risk: A New Framework for Understanding the Economic-Security Nexus,” From Chapter 7, “Conclusion,” p. 146-147, Master’s Thesis in Philosophy, University of New South Wales, Australian Defence Force Academy, School of Humanities and Social Sciences, 2011, http://unsworks.unsw…:10112/SOURCE01 The economic-security nexus debate is far from over. There are no ‘silver bullet’ answers, but instead a variety of threads in this these interwoven relationships. Going forward, the economic-security nexus remains a rich and promising field of both political science and economic study. Further work in this regard could focus on discerning the discrete interactions between the levels of risk, or developing quantitative models that capture the entirety of the broadened framework. As economic structures and technologies propel globalisation in new directions, it is hard to imagine a more important and worthwhile discipline of security studies than the economic-security nexus.
  3. Does anyone know any good camps focused on kritiks? Lower price ranges would be preferred. Thanks.
  4. I actually use it as "No econ solvency", not a D.A. impact. Sorry for any confusion.
  5. I'm a generous man. I also don't quite know what to ask for. America is about to have a 25 year depression."CIA Insider Warns: '25-Year Great Depression Is About to Strike America'" Money Morning. Monday Morning Staff Reports, 2014. Web. 06 Oct. 2014. CIA Insider Warns: "25-Year Great Depression is About to Strike America". By MONEY MORNING STAFF REPORTS. You will want to remember this date April 6, 2015. According to one of the top minds in the U.S. Intelligence Community, that is when the United States will enter the darkest economic period in our nation's history. A 25-year Great Depression. Does This Signal the End of the Dollar? An alarming pattern has caused many in the Intelligence Community to secretly prepare for a "worst-case scenario." And alarmingly, he and his colleagues believe the evidence they've uncovered proves this outcome is impossible to avoid. In an exclusive interview with Money Morning, Jim Rickards, the CIA's Financial Threat and Asymmetric Warfare Advisor, has stepped forward to warn the American people that time is running out to prepare for this $100 trillion meltdown. "Everybody knows we have a dangerous level of debt. Everybody knows the Fed has recklessly printed trillions of dollars. These are secrets to no one," he said. "But all signs are now flashing bright red that our chickens are about to come home to roost." During the discussion, Rickards shared a series of dangerous signals he fears reveals an economy that has reached a super critical state. One of the signals the CIA is most concerned with is the Misery Index. Decades back this unique warning sign was created for determining how close our country was to a social collapse. It simply adds the true inflation rate with the true unemployment rate. However, the Federal Reserve has repeatedly changed the way the Misery Index has been calculated over the years. Which Rickards believes is now being used to cover up the true scope of the problem. "Today you rarely hear the government talk about the Misery Index with the public," Rickards said. "The reason is they may not want you to know the truth. And the truth is, the Misery Index has reached more dangerous levels than we saw prior to the Great Depression. This is a signal of a complex system that's about to collapse." Frightening: Single chart reveals which banks could collapse (and how soon). If your life savings is in a major bank, please look at this now. During the shocking interview Rickards revealed the 5 dangerous "flashpoints" the Intelligence Community is closely monitoring that they believe will unleash this catastrophe. And he also described how it would all unfold. "I expect the first phase will appear as a nearly instantaneous 70% stock market crash. From the outside, nobody will see it coming." Rickards explained. "Once it becomes clear that it's not a flash crash - it's a systemic meltdown in the economy itself, that's when the gravity of the situation will sink in. And there will be no digging out from it. "$100 trillion is a conservative estimate for the damage. A lot can happen over 25-years as our country struggles to recover from this." Editor's Note: Money Morning has released their exclusive interview with Jim Rickards to the public. And it's a must-see for every American who is concerned about our country and their financial security. Click here to view it. Along with his CIA responsibilities, Jim Rickards has spent more than 3 decades on Wall Street as a leading international investment banker, hedge fund manager, and as the architect behind the technology nicknamed “the brains” of the NASDAQ. This unique skillset has placed him at the center of some of the most important events in recent history. For instance, Rickards helped negotiate an end to the Iranian Hostage Crisis in the early 1980s. Then, in the late 1990s, despite being one of its most outspoken critics, the Federal Reserve called on him to step in to prevent a $1.25 trillion Wall Street meltdown during the Long Term Capital Management crisis. And after 9-11, the CIA tasked him with tracking down potential terrorist insider trading that took place prior to the attacks. This led to him helping lead a sensitive operation called Project Prophecy. The mission was to use the financial markets to predict pending national security threats from terrorists, rival nations, and from internal weaknesses lurking inside our economy. The system he built through Project Prophecy proved its accuracy on August 7, 2006, when it detected the warning signs of an impending terrorist attack. Three days later, in London, a plot to blow up 10 U.S. passenger jets was thwarted. And 24 Pakistani extremists were arrested. However, Rickards now warns that the next attack is going to come from within. And he is not alone in his fears. Recently, a sensitive report containing the consensus view of all 16 branches of the U.S. Intelligence Committee surfaced. It revealed that these agencies have already begun to jointly estimate the impact of "The fall of the dollar as the global reserve currency." Details of Government's "Day After Plan" Emerge: Warning: Emergency measures have already been put "in play" for this 25-year Great Depression. And our reign as the leading superpower being annihilated in a way "equivalent to the end of the British Empire in the post-World War II period." The nightmarish endgame presented in this report involved "a worldwide economic breakdown and an extended period of global anarchy." And Jim Rickards believes we can no longer stop this, we can only prepare for it. "Look at it this way. Americans are standing at the bottom of a very tall mountain - Mt. Everest, Mt. Kilimanjaro...they look up and see an avalanche barreling down. Determining the one snowflake that started this chaos shouldn't be our focus. Recognizing the severity of the situation and moving to safety should be," Rickards explained. The question we should all be asking ourselves now is "what if he's right?"
  6. NecroNarwhal

    Debate Team

    I've heard of a movie/documentary called "Debate Team", and I was wondering if anyone knew where I could purchase it, or if anyone could share it with me.
  7. Still, I prefer Bearden 2K. Royal is flawed because he has cards that argue that "Econ increase leads to war", and Mead has predicted extinction too many times (great for debaters though). Economic Collapse would escalate to Full Scale Conflict and Rapid extinction.Bearden 2K (Lt. Col in US Army) [Thomas, “The Unnecessary Energy Crisis”, Free Republic, June 24, p. online wyo-tjc] History bears out that desperate nations take desperate actions. Prior to the final economic collapse, the stress on nations will have increased the intensity and number of their conflicts, to the point where the arsenals of weapons of mass destruction (WMD) now possessed by some 25 nations, are almost certain to be released. As an example, suppose a starving North Korea launches nuclear weapons upon Japan and South Korea, including U.S. forces there, in a spasmodic suicidal response. Or suppose a desperate China-whose long-range nuclear missiles (some) can reach the United States-attacks Taiwan. In addition to immediate responses, the mutual treaties involved in such scenarios will quickly draw other nations into the conflict, escalating it significantly. Strategic nuclear studies have shown for decades that, under such extreme stress conditions, once a few nukes are launched, adversaries and potential adversaries are then compelled to launch on perception of preparations by one's adversary. The real legacy of the MAD concept is this side of the MAD coin that is almost never discussed. Without effective defense, the only chance a nation has to survive at all is to launch immediate full-bore pre-emptive strikes and try to take out its perceived foes as rapidly and massively as possible. As the studies showed, rapid escalation to full WMD exchange occurs. Today, a great percent of the WMD arsenals that will be unleashed, are already on site within the United States itself. The resulting great Armageddon will destroy civilization as we know it, and perhaps most of the biosphere, at least for many decades.
  8. I have a card that says the U.S. economy will collapse on April 6th, 2015. This collapse is unavoidable, and will result in a 70% stock market crash, $100 trillion debt, and a 25 year depression. The man who claims this is a top CIA official.
  9. NecroNarwhal

    Vindskip

    Has anyone else heard of it? It sounds like it would be really susceptible to cross-winds, but I can't find any authors on any flaws. Any help/discussion of Vindskip would be quite helpful.
  10. Anyone in the Midwest out there? (Bonus points if from South Dakota circuit.)
  11. Trying to talk about people's reactions to a plan is a far different opportunity cost than a spending/trade-off. I believe the plan passing in a vacuum means that people's attitudes towards plan are irrelevant.
  12. Answering a Topicality of "substantially/surveillance" will be interesting. I want to get an argument set up about how: 1. One can't measure surveillance. 2. Govt. secrecy means the amount of surveillance we currently have could be highly underestimated- no way to be sure what is "substantial". 3. Do cameras running and no one watching count as surveillance? 4. What all truly counts as surveillance? Any other ideas?
  13. Along with most people, I think they are generic as fuck, and it pisses me off when teams run them on cases that obviously don't link. Here is my generic theory shell against them. Politics DAs Bad They’re repetitive – they run the exact same politics shell every round, which doesn’t give good education for the debaters. They detract from topic focus – politics are super-generic, so the negative never needs to read on-case or research ocean policy, which hurts education and is against framer’s intent. It moots the resolution – the resolution is supposed to be a guide to negative debating as well, they defeat the purpose of having a new resolution each year by always running the same arguments. The ‘should’ in the resolution means plan is passed in a vacuum – should means that plan ought to occur, not that it will, so we’re effectively just debating over the plan, not what may occur while plan is being passed, because passage is never assumed. Encourages poor evidence quality – look at their cards, they all suck, there aren’t any warrants and most of them are taken out of context. This type of citing would not be acceptable for any forum besides debate – people can get kicked out of college for misreporting sources, it shouldn’t be encouraged in debate. It hurts political activism – their large but unlikely impacts wouldn’t be used in any forum but debate, for example, the city council won’t be convinced that passing an ocean policy will lead to a republican takeover that allows Bush to destroy the world. That makes us less effective at political activism in the outside world. Those are all reasons to vote aff, and reject the team, not just the argument to send a message that this type of argumentation won’t be tolerated and to discourage future violations. I hope you beat them.
  14. Excerpt from the book - "Justice is the only true philosophy. When unwavering justice is combined with extreme vigilante-ism, the world is a better place. However, be warned. Throwing things like dead parents, an unhealthy obsession with bats, and Ben Affleck into this cocktail can only lead to ruin... Unless you are really freaking rich, at which point you can defeat nearly anyone. "
  15. Adopt the ideals of the Joker.
  16. I've seen a lot of comments like "We won on framework", and I was wondering if I could get a simple description of framework, what it does in the round (how different is it from ROB?), and a list of common frameworks. Thanks.
  17. I just had the education idea recently, this is a similar thread. I hope to get something from this thread too though. http://www.cross-x.com/topic/58626-education-advantages/
  18. STANDING IS BAD- Bryan Walsh. "The Dangers of Sitting at Work." Time. Time, 13 Apr. 2011. Web. 24 Feb. 2015. Standing desks are in. Once the province of a few dynamic individuals like Winston Churchill, Ernest Hemingway and Donald Rumsfeld (O.K., two out of three ain’t bad), the stand-up desk is spreading to the world of corporate drones. And for good reason — there’s a growing body of medical evidence that hours of uninterrupted sitting can be surprisingly bad for your health. A 2010 editorial in the British Journal of Sports Medicine found that those who sit for prolonged periods have a higher risk of disease than those who move a muscle every now and then in a non-exercise manner, such as walking up the stairs to grab a cup of coffee. Researchers at the American Cancer Society found that even if you exercise nearly every day, those health benefits can be undone if you spend the rest of your time on your keister. Scientists at the University of Missouri have found that the act of sitting seems to shut off the circulation of a fat-absorbing enzyme called lipase. A study published by the American Journal of Epidemiology showed that sitting for long stretches, more than six hours a day, can make someone at least 18% more likely to die from diabetes, heart disease and obesity than those sitting less than three hours a day. Scientists at the Pennington Biomedical Research Center in Louisiana analyzed the lifestyles of more than 17,000 men and women over about 13 years, and found that people who sit for most of the day are 54% more likely to die of heart attacks. Fifty-four percent! That’s an attention-getting stat, and it’s helped push corporate drones and coders into using standing desks, or — for the truly ambitious — treadmill desks that allow you to walk very slowly while you work. It’s easy enough to buy a new standing desk — see a selection here — or you can try to convert an existing desk. Switching to a standing desk can take a little adjustment, especially for your feet, but many of those who’ve tried itsay they’ll never go back to sitting down. Like many health trends, however, standing desks can cause problems if they’re taken too far. For one thing, not every researcher has found that stand-up desks are a cure-all. Scientists in the American Journal of Preventive Medicine examined 17 studies on occupational sitting and cancer, and found little to no connection. And some experts in occupational health worry that hours of uninterrupted standing could be bad for your body. Alan Hedge, who directs the Human Factors and Ergonomics research and teaching programs at Cornell University, told me that switching to a standup desk can be risky, especially if it’s done incorrectly: In field studies of so-called sit-stand workstations, Hedges has found little evidence of widespread benefits for users — and that’s only for very short periods of actual standing. He also notes that the use of stand-up desks tends to rapidly decline after about a month — most likely because people don’t actually want to be standing all day. Standing to work has long known to be problematic, it is more tiring, it dramatically increases the risks of carotid atherosclerosis (ninefold) because of the additional load on the circulatory system, and it also increases the risks of varicose veins, so standing all day is unhealthy. The performance of many fine motor skills also is less good when people stand rather than sit. We have tested computer use when sitting and standing in different ways. The problem with standing is that when you raise desk height for keyboard/mouse use you need to also raise screen height above the desk or you get neck flexion. Also, for standing computer work, the computer fixes the person’s posture, there is greater wrist extension and pretty soon people end up leaning which also compromises their wrist posture, thereby increasing the risks of a musculoskeletal disorder like carpal tunnel syndrome. Hedge does acknowledge that sitting for hours at a time, uninterrupted, is not good for you. So he advocates a middle way — use a sitting desk with proper ergonomic posture, but make sure that about every 20 minutes you stand up and move around for a brief period of time: Research shows that you don’t need to do vigorous exercise (e.g., jumping jacks) to get the benefits; just walking around is sufficient. So build in a pattern of creating greater movement variety in the workplace (e.g., walk to a printer, water fountain, stand for a meeting, take the stairs, walk around the floor, park a bit farther away from the building each day). It may not be as sexy as a stand-up desk, but Hedge’s advice is probably better for your body. Besides, does anyone really want to stand up all day at work? Ask a waiter how that works out. END DEBATE NOW! IT IS THE ONLY WAY TO BE SURE YOU AREN'T STUCK IN A POSITION FOR TOO LONG! DON'T ALLOW FOR ANY PART OF THE BLOCK! WRITE UP THE BALLOT NOW AND WALK IT DOWN TO THE TAB TABLE- *Ends speech*
  19. Okay so a team in my circuit is running "implement Marshall Hydrothemal technologies in the ocean". It's pretty basic. However, one of their advantages is Fine Particle Pollution. They claim that they can remove fine particle pollutants caused by coal powered plant from the atmosphere. I realize that they can't really solve, but my partner never pushes them in C-X on it. Does anyone have any cards about how "Fine particle pollutants are replacing the ozone, and stopping UV rays from killing us all? I believe I remember seeing a video on "Debate Team" and (I think) Calum was talking about this same scenario. If anyone could send me those/any other ideas, I would greatly appreciate it.
  20. Okay so I got this card, and I figured I should run it soon. I had forgotten about it, but just found it again and wanted to share it with you guys. America is about to have a 25 year depression. "CIA Insider Warns: '25-Year Great Depression Is About to Strike America'" Money Morning. Monday Morning Staff Reports, 2014. Web. 06 Oct. 2014. CIA Insider Warns: "25-Year Great Depression is About to Strike America". By MONEY MORNING STAFF REPORTS. You will want to remember this date April 6, 2015. According to one of the top minds in the U.S. Intelligence Community, that is when the United States will enter the darkest economic period in our nation's history. A 25-year Great Depression. Does This Signal the End of the Dollar? An alarming pattern has caused many in the Intelligence Community to secretly prepare for a "worst-case scenario." And alarmingly, he and his colleagues believe the evidence they've uncovered proves this outcome is impossible to avoid. In an exclusive interview with Money Morning, Jim Rickards, the CIA's Financial Threat and Asymmetric Warfare Advisor, has stepped forward to warn the American people that time is running out to prepare for this $100 trillion meltdown. "Everybody knows we have a dangerous level of debt. Everybody knows the Fed has recklessly printed trillions of dollars. These are secrets to no one," he said. "But all signs are now flashing bright red that our chickens are about to come home to roost." During the discussion, Rickards shared a series of dangerous signals he fears reveals an economy that has reached a super critical state. One of the signals the CIA is most concerned with is the Misery Index. Decades back this unique warning sign was created for determining how close our country was to a social collapse. It simply adds the true inflation rate with the true unemployment rate. However, the Federal Reserve has repeatedly changed the way the Misery Index has been calculated over the years. Which Rickards believes is now being used to cover up the true scope of the problem. "Today you rarely hear the government talk about the Misery Index with the public," Rickards said. "The reason is they may not want you to know the truth. And the truth is, the Misery Index has reached more dangerous levels than we saw prior to the Great Depression. This is a signal of a complex system that's about to collapse." Frightening: Single chart reveals which banks could collapse (and how soon). If your life savings is in a major bank, please look at this now. During the shocking interview Rickards revealed the 5 dangerous "flashpoints" the Intelligence Community is closely monitoring that they believe will unleash this catastrophe. And he also described how it would all unfold. "I expect the first phase will appear as a nearly instantaneous 70% stock market crash. From the outside, nobody will see it coming." Rickards explained. "Once it becomes clear that it's not a flash crash - it's a systemic meltdown in the economy itself, that's when the gravity of the situation will sink in. And there will be no digging out from it. "$100 trillion is a conservative estimate for the damage. A lot can happen over 25-years as our country struggles to recover from this." Editor's Note: Money Morning has released their exclusive interview with Jim Rickards to the public. And it's a must-see for every American who is concerned about our country and their financial security. Click here to view it. Along with his CIA responsibilities, Jim Rickards has spent more than 3 decades on Wall Street as a leading international investment banker, hedge fund manager, and as the architect behind the technology nicknamed “the brains” of the NASDAQ. This unique skillset has placed him at the center of some of the most important events in recent history. For instance, Rickards helped negotiate an end to the Iranian Hostage Crisis in the early 1980s. Then, in the late 1990s, despite being one of its most outspoken critics, the Federal Reserve called on him to step in to prevent a $1.25 trillion Wall Street meltdown during the Long Term Capital Management crisis. And after 9-11, the CIA tasked him with tracking down potential terrorist insider trading that took place prior to the attacks. This led to him helping lead a sensitive operation called Project Prophecy. The mission was to use the financial markets to predict pending national security threats from terrorists, rival nations, and from internal weaknesses lurking inside our economy. The system he built through Project Prophecy proved its accuracy on August 7, 2006, when it detected the warning signs of an impending terrorist attack. Three days later, in London, a plot to blow up 10 U.S. passenger jets was thwarted. And 24 Pakistani extremists were arrested. However, Rickards now warns that the next attack is going to come from within. And he is not alone in his fears. Recently, a sensitive report containing the consensus view of all 16 branches of the U.S. Intelligence Committee surfaced. It revealed that these agencies have already begun to jointly estimate the impact of "The fall of the dollar as the global reserve currency." Details of Government's "Day After Plan" Emerge: Warning: Emergency measures have already been put "in play" for this 25-year Great Depression. And our reign as the leading superpower being annihilated in a way "equivalent to the end of the British Empire in the post-World War II period." The nightmarish endgame presented in this report involved "a worldwide economic breakdown and an extended period of global anarchy." And Jim Rickards believes we can no longer stop this, we can only prepare for it. "Look at it this way. Americans are standing at the bottom of a very tall mountain - Mt. Everest, Mt. Kilimanjaro...they look up and see an avalanche barreling down. Determining the one snowflake that started this chaos shouldn't be our focus. Recognizing the severity of the situation and moving to safety should be," Rickards explained. The question we should all be asking ourselves now is "what if he's right?"
  21. Additional 2 hours as compared to what? My current 24 hours? Or I could just read this as 1AC and then tell the judge to VOTE NOW OR WE WILL DIE OF CANCER, WE HAVE TO END THE DEBATE NOW OH GOD NOT CANCER- Vote aff b/c neg didn't say anything.
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