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Posts posted by porker159

  1. yeah, there was an election in between there where independents got duped into voting for the most extreme congress evar.


    i don't think people are going to be rushing to the right, again. if anything, the pendulum is already swinging back to the centre.



    What has happened besides paul ryan's budget plan to swing the pendulum back to the center? People are still really upset about Obamacare, gas prices, and the budget deficit.

  2. Um, you are lacking credibility because you are lacking warrants. Quoting Sarah Palin, accusations of socialism, and then more accusations of socialism makes me think that no matter what evidence is before you, every event in the news is good for the Palin/Bachmann ticket.


    I'm not giving warrants because most politicians don't give warrants. I'm just giving my take how the republican candidates will spin reality to get political support.


    I don't think any event in the news is bad for Obama, just that the public's general discontent with the status quo will give the GOP a lot of offense come 2012. Last election Obama won on "change" - this time, people who want change are going to look for somebody else.



    Unemployment: Is slowly but steadily decreasing. While this month may have seen the unemployment rate go up, the private sector added thousands of jobs, and has continued to add jobs for the past 14 months. I definitely think come election time Obama can show that he reduced unemployment and spin it in his favor.


    I disagree. The economy has been sluggishly increasing for the last few years, but not nearly as fast as Obama led people to believe back in 2008. People expected him to be some magic solution to the economy, and he just hasn't really pulled through. "How's that whole hopey-changey thing working out for ya?" High unemployment, coupled with record high gas prices (which will be especially devastating if they don't come down) are going to be hard to spin as wins. People have very short term memories; many will vote republican in 2012 for the same reason they voted Obama back in 2008 - the promise of quick change.



    Health care: If costs go up, Obama wins because he gets more people insurance. From the economic standpoint, insurance firms are going to start competing heavily to get the 50k+ people who don't have insurance and need it. This will usually lower insurance costs and help people out with rising costs. This is just pure economic speculation, but Obama has a good chance of winning on this issue.


    The GOP won the media debate on health care. The bill that passed is socialist, massively expensive, and extremely unpopular. Whether it brings down costs in reality matters much less (in my opinion).



    Government Spending: With the recent budget cuts and probably even more budget cuts to come during the 2012 fiscal year, it shouldn't be difficult for Obama to spin the fact that he is curbing government spending and win big. Especially since he can claim the money saved from the Iraq and Afghanistan conflicts.




    I don't see Obama getting credit for budget cuts. Without touching military or entitlement spending, most cuts are pretty insignificant. The GOP will just keep reiterating how large the deficit still is, and (correctly) argue that we're still spending more than we're bringing in. Obama is branded as a "big-government-loving socialist." Whether it's true or not, people believe it.

  4. Obama is the commander in chief of the military... it's not like this raid was just pulled out of Petraeus's ass and put on Obama's desk. He was in consultation/planning with intelligence and special forces since august. He also kept guantanamo open, and probably made sure the relevant forces stayed in Afghanistan. AND, he almost certainly made the decision about what to do with the bodies/pictures and determined the rules of engagement.


    Edit: Also, Obama had the decision ultimately about whether or not to use a predator/laser-guided bomb or special forces.



    i think he'll get a lot of credit. it helps undermine the argument that obama is "weak" on foreign policy. he shifted the focus away from iraq toward afghanistan/ bin ladin and did what the GOP was unable to in 8 years.

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