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kerpen

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Everything posted by kerpen

  1. Topic paper: http://www.nfhs.org/WorkArea/linkit.aspx?LinkIdentifier=id&ItemID=4149
  2. Suggest you hit the email list promoting this.
  3. http://www.cross-x.com/work/2002-03/hyperspace.doc
  4. Interested? eBay Auction Here: http://cgi.ebay.com/ws/eBayISAPI.dll?ViewItem&item=300509573469
  5. The NFHS has announced the 2010-2011 topic. On a 24-13 vote, the winner is: Resolved: The United States federal government should substantially reduce its military and/or police presence in one or more of the following: South Korea, Japan, Afghanistan, Kuwait, Iraq, Turkey. Discuss here: http://www.cross-x.com/vb/forumdisplay.php?f=150
  6. Commercial messages from non-sponsors are prohibited under the terms of service you agreed to when you created your account. For sponsorship information, contact Phil Kerpen at pgk@philkerpen.com. Thanks.
  7. The NHFS announced the final topic choices for 2010-11: China and Military Deployment. Which do you prefer? CHINA Resolved: The United States federal government should substantially increase its economic engagement with the People’s Republic of China on one or more of the following issues: trade, economy, environment. MILITARY DEPLOYMENT Resolved: The United States federal government should substantially reduce its military and/or police presence in one or more of the following: South Korea, Japan, Afghanistan, Kuwait, Iraq, Turkey.
  8. This week's Thursday File includes updates on the biggest issues facing congress in Health Care. The disad runs Health Care Reform Good because although opposition is growing, there is still hope for a sucessful bill. Also you will see updates on Immigration, Abortion, and other amendments to the Health Care bill, as well as AFF answers and miscellaneous link and uniqueness evidence. http://www.cross-x.com/evazon/product.php?id=10819
  9. Will end next Monday, November 23rd at Noon Eastern. Sorry for the delay. Vote here: http://www.cross-x.com/election.html Discuss here: http://www.cross-x.com/vb/forumdisplay.php?f=140
  10. New Thursday File with evidence as recent as Friday! 1) South Korea FTA disad is new to the year, and a pleasant break from Health Care for your judges. Many impacts including Asian stability, Hegemony, Global economy, and Trade 2) Key updates to Health Care reform now that it has passed the house. Evidence on momentum in the senate, time-tables, and a few tricky new impacts scenarios. Politics is really heating up as we approach Thanksgiving. Grab your courts CP, your Politics File, and GO NUTS! Enjoy, and Good Luck! Thanks, Mike
  11. Talk about the upcoming moderator elections. Elections will run from October 30th at Noon Eastern to November 6th at Noon Eastern. Election info: http://www.cross-x.com/vb/announcement.php?f=140 Discuss: http://www.cross-x.com/vb/forumdisplay.php?f=140
  12. President Obama must use his scarce political capital to pass climate change legislation by December in time for the Copenhagen Climate Change conference. If U.S. legislation has not passed through Congress by then, the conference will collapse. Copenhagen is our last chance to get meaningful international agreement on reducing global warming. The evidence for this is very recent: uniqueness (10.18), Obama capital key (10.16), US key to Copenhagen (10.12), Copenhagen key to fighting warming (10.19). Even the shell impact card - fate of the planet - is brand new (10.20). There is much in this file for the affirmative, too, beyond answers to the Copenhagen scenario. You'll find nearly 20 pages of recent affirmative answers to an increasingly popular politics scenario on the Middle East peace process. The file also includes several new "winners-win" cards to use to turn any political capital internal link, including a great all-purpose uniqueness card. Finally, the file covers some generic affirmative and negative politics ground: whether Obama's "war" on FOX News will help or hurt his agenda, whether the GOP has a chance in the upcoming midterms, and, of course, health care reform. http://www.cross-x.com/evazon/product.php?id=10799
  13. This TF mainly focuses on the health care disad but also has some spicey new options. Health care- with the recent vote there is a lot of optimism for the passage of health care reform. There is pretty good vote count uniqueness evidence that also explains why Obama involvement is key to insulate you from uniqueness overwhelms the link arguments. There is also recent political capital key cards about why he needs capital for the rest of the process specifically, not just health care generically. The key aff link turn to this disad has been "winners win" so far, so also included is a 2NC peace process bad disad- domestic wins allow Obama to pursue the peace process which causes middle east war. This is obviously a tricky line to tow- you can't read this 2NC disad with the 1NC peace process good impact to health care (obviously) but more importantly you probably can't read it with any "key to agenda" health care impacts. For health care on the aff I included some blocks on the impact defense arguments discussed in the last 3NR podcast as per a request. Also included is a Mid Term elections disad- the link is that the plan improves the economy or helps provide jobs. This allows the democrats to maintain majorities in the 2010 election and that causes the passage of climate legislation. Finally there are some great hegemony updates from a recent Krauthammer article included as well. http://www.cross-x.com/evazon/product.php?id=10798
  14. This file contains updates on the #1 issue in Washington right now, health care reform. The debates are coming to a head now, as the Finance Committee has put forward a bill to be evaluated by the Congressional Budget Office and subsequently debated and voted on.The timetable for vote on the Baucus bill is slated for the month of October. Also, Obama has to date largely let congress duke it out over health care reform, and now will have to step in and take a closer and more personal role in arm twisting and political deal-making to ensure passage of the bill. The impact scenario is reform of the health care juggernaut is critical to jobs, the budget deficit, and the US economy as a whole. There is also evidence in this file to write a Health Care Reform Bad disad, based on the inclusion of the "public option," to compete with private insurance coverage. The evidence for why Obama's close involvement in compromises to ensure "public option" passage is fantastic. Finally, the file contains some general link uniqueness on political capital and updates on other congressional issues, such as Card Check. http://www.cross-x.com/evazon/product.php?id=10796
  15. The NFHS has announced Latin America, China, Russia, UN Reform and military deployment are five suggested debate topics for 2010-2011. PROBLEM AREA I: Latin America Resolved: The United States federal government should substantially increase its trade promotion toward one or more Latin American countries. PROBLEM AREA II: China Resolved: The United States federal government should substantially increase its economic engagement with the People’s Republic of China on one or more of the following issues: trade, economy, environment. PROBLEM AREA III: Russia Resolved: The United States federal government should substantially increase its military and/or economic engagement toward Russia. PROBLEM AREA IV: United Nations Resolved: The United Nations should substantially reform one or more of the following organizations: United Nations Children’s Fund, United Nations Development Programme, United Nations Environment Programme, United Nations World Food Programme. PROBLEM AREA V: Military Deployment Resolved: The United States federal government should substantially reduce its military and/or police presence in one or more of the following: South Korea, Japan, Afghanistan, Kuwait, Iraq, Turkey.
  16. Adding in the payroll tax does reduce the share of federal taxes paid by the top 1 percent to about 24 percent. That's pretty hefty for 1 percent. Moreover, the payroll tax is a dedicated revenue source for Social Security (and Medicare, but that is uncapped) with a benefits formula tied to contributions. Congress raised the payroll tax in 1983 and raided the surpluses to fund other government spending; that was wrong and never should have happened. I fought to undo it by dedicating those surpluses to individually owned accounts that workers would have owned and controlled. Regardless, the surpluses are gone and Social Security is now cash-flow negative. That means it's income taxes that carry the freight for the cost of government, and the distribution of those taxes matters. When lower rates have led to a more progressive distribution, it's worth asking whether higher rates wouldn't lead to a less progressive distribution. The removal of half of Americans from the income tax rolls was not a trivial of a "duh" event. It is a huge historic change.
  17. What do actual debaters think of this? I think she conceded some key arguments, including the argument that tax hikes on the rich would LOWER revenues, which means they can't possibly pay for health reform. Aside from what you think of the issues, do you think I won the debate? http://www.pbs.org/now/shows/health-care-reform/ic-health-reform-wealthy.html
  18. This TF focuses mainly on the health care disad as it will be the dominant politics da for the foreseeable future. I tried to include some things to help with the most common aff arguments -Impacts- since its unclear what the final bill will be and since it will most likely be much less change than Obama initially hoped for it's often difficult to win the internal link to traditional health care impacts. So there are 2 modules you can read (climate and middle east peace process) that in no way depend on the actual bill that gets passed, but instead are just basically "winners win" style arguments that Obama needs success on climate in order to advance another part of his agenda. -Uniqueness- since there are a million pass/don't pass cards I made sure to focus on finding some cards that explicitly explain why the arguments for will pass are more accurate/likely than the other side. These are labeled "uniqueness lens". The idea here is that you should tell the judge to filter the other sides uniqueness evidence through these cards in order to eliminate bias/hyperbole etc. There is also a peace process disad that can be run as its own argument. It has some pretty good recent evidence and if you catch a team unprepared could probably be a winner. However, there is no evidence that explicitly answers the "health care triggers the link" argument which I think is essential to have if you are reading any other disad. http://www.cross-x.com/evazon/product.php?id=10793
  19. kerpen

    Gettin Paid

    End of the month.
  20. Clinton and Gates are pushing hard for the RRW as part of a broad nuclear agreement with the hawks. Obama is using his political capital to block this development but he's on the verge of giving in. Plan dishes Obama a devastating blow and tanks the limited credibility he has been banking on to keep RRW proponents at bay. RRW is bad because it crushes our nuclear credibility at a time when potential proliferators are looking to us to take the anti-nuclear lead. We would not only have to test for RRW, but it would be the type of weapon we'd realistically use. This is a new scenario that has gotten far less coverage than staple agenda items like Health Care and Climate.
  21. In the next few weeks, the Obama Administration faces a crucial decision regarding Afghanistan -- whether or not to pursue an additional troop commitment and ask the Congress to support that expansion. Opposition to the war is growing and while the Congress is likely to support the President now, their backing is by no means assured. The plan will be controversial for a variety of reasons and will sap the political clout the President needs to get his troop request passed. An increase in American troops is vital to prevent instability in Afghanistan from spilling over into extremism in Pakistan. A coup in Pakistan - which is made more likely by Taliban success in Afghanistan - would prompt a nuclear exchange with India. The evidence for this scenario is ultra-recent - the Afghanistan uniqueness, internal link and scenario cards have all been written since the workshops ended. Even the shell "poverty link" card is from 2009 and written in the context of the current economic conditions. The scenario is stronger than in the past because it now concerns a specific request the President will make of the Congress that he will have to use his political capital to win. The evidence proving a connection between the fight for a domestic agenda item and a building support for a foreign war is stellar. There are almost 20 pages of affirmative evidence: uniqueness, link turns, issue-specific uniqueness, internal link answers, Afghanistan scenario answers and Pakistan scenario answers. Good luck at Wake Forest and Greenhill! http://www.cross-x.com/evazon/product.php?id=10789
  22. I very firmly believe in free speech, including radical ideas. I also believe in robust counter-speech.
  23. I was answering the interviewer's question about why they are controversial. I think Sunstein is a good choice for OIRA and his comparative risk assessment approach would lead to more sensible regulations. I misspoke if I said Sunstein considered trees having standing. It was Holdren who spoke favorably of the concept.
  24. President Obama needs political capital to fight off efforts by Democrats to prematurely pull out or limit our troops in Afghanistan. The bottom line impact is Pakistan stability with a loose nukes scenario, India-Pakistan conflict. Also included are affirmative impact and internal link answers. Plus there are generic political capital and approval ratings updates that you can use for any politics scenario right now. http://www.cross-x.com/evazon/product.php?id=10765
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