The Thursday File (May 21) - View TOC

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New May 21 NCFL Mancuso TF
May 21, 2009 - 10:20 AM - by kerpen
President Obama needs political capital to fight off efforts by Democrats to prematurely pull out or limit our troops in Afghanistan. The bottom line impact is Pakistan stability with a loose nukes scenario, India-Pakistan conflict. Also included are affirmative impact and internal link answers.

Plus there are generic political capital and approval ratings updates that you can use for any politics scenario right now.

http://www.cross-x.com/evazon/product.php?id=10765
1 Reply | 378 Views
New April 30th Burstheyn TF for TOC!
Apr 30, 2009 - 7:55 AM - by kerpen
This weeks Thursday file contains updates on several of the common scenarios found out there, including health care reform and law of the sea. General uniqueness is good this weekend, since Obama's 100th day in office has just passed so it is a good time for reviews of his agenda success, as well as prospects for the future (not to mention some new internal link evidence about what matters for successful politics from here on out). Passage of the budget at the end of the week was a major victory, but also underscored the fact that Specter's defection to the democrats is not a guaranteed vote on all their agenda items, making political capital all the more important to construct 60 vote filibuster proof majorities. CTBT can be run with agenda overload and political capital links, and many of the impacts are perception dependent, bypassing issues that might be raised regarding the long term effect of treaty ratification and proliferation enforcement. Immigration is up for grabs whether or not Obama will make a strong push, but if the reform is on the table, it will require a careful political compromise. Finally, keep an eye out for Card Check, as the issue may be back on the table if Specter is willing to consider a revised... [Read More]
0 Replies | 678 Views
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